I just came across KB 2031331 (don't know how I missed it!) and it again reiterates that the update can take quite a while. Doesn't appear there is any obvious update progress indicator, but it did point me to the update progress log: updatecli.log which I can check. In my case the log is still being written to, so the update is still running. There appears to be a whole lot of "Aborts" and "error" type entries, but I will assume this is normal for now.
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